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01
Instant Investment Snapshot
See the complete picture in seconds. Key metrics, growth rates, and a balanced Bulls vs. Bears analysis, so you know both sides of the trade before you commit.
NVDA
NVIDIA Corporation
NVDA・NASDAQ Global Select
Executive Summary
Bulls Say
- NVIDIA's Data Center segment, contributing 89.7% of revenue and growing at 68.2% YoY, is a structural growth engine. AI and cloud computing adoption are secular trends, and NVIDIA's leadership in HPC and AI accelerators gives it a durable moat. With a PEG ratio of 0.56 and DCF value of $236.66, the stock is undervalued relative to intrinsic worth and growth trajectory.
- The company's ROE of 101.5% and FCF margin of 44.8% highlight exceptional operational efficiency and cash generation. These metrics, combined with a net margin of 55.6% (53.9pp above S&P 500 median), support the argument that NVIDIA can sustain high returns while reinvesting in R&D and expanding its AI ecosystem.
- Analyst sentiment is overwhelmingly bullish, with 76% of 79 analysts issuing Buy/Strong Buy ratings and a consensus target of $278.59 (53.1% upside). Recent upward revisions from Wedbush and Morgan Stanley signal growing confidence in the company's ability to meet or exceed forward estimates of $8.26 EPS and $363.9B revenue in 2027.
- NVIDIA's geographic diversification and segment mix shift toward high-margin Data Center and Professional Visualization segments (69.9% growth) support margin resilience. The U.S. accounts for 69.3% of revenue with 144.2% YoY growth, indicating strong domestic demand and tailwinds from AI infrastructure expansion.
- The company's capital returns model is robust, with $40.1B in share buybacks and $974M in dividends. This, combined with a net debt/EBITDA of 0.01x and a current ratio of 3.91x, ensures financial flexibility to sustain shareholder returns even if margins compress slightly. The FCF/Net Income ratio of 80.5% also suggests earnings quality is high.
Bears Say
- The P/E of 37.0x is 15.8% above Apple and 35% below Analog Devices, but it's still a premium valuation. With a forward P/E of 22.0x for 2027, the market is pricing in a slowdown in growth. If NVIDIA fails to meet consensus estimates, the stock could face a re-rating downward, especially given its high beta of 1.77 and volatility of 41.4%.
- The Data Center segment's dominance (89.7% of revenue) is a concentration risk. A 30% decline in this segment could stress operating cash flow, reducing FCF from $96.7B to levels insufficient for sustaining buybacks and dividends. This makes NVIDIA vulnerable to macroeconomic slowdowns or supply chain disruptions.
- The company's R&D spend at 8.6% of revenue is lower than peers like Broadcom (17.1%) and Analog Devices (15.6%). This could limit its ability to maintain technological leadership in the long term. If competitors like AMD or Intel gain traction in AI and data center markets, NVIDIA's margins and market share may erode.
- The ROE bucket of 101.5% places NVIDIA in the 'Exceptional' category with a historical CAGR of -11.1%. This suggests that companies with such high ROE often experience mean reversion. If NVIDIA's ROE declines due to margin compression or slower growth, the stock may underperform despite current strong fundamentals.
- Despite strong institutional buying, there's no insider purchasing in Q1 2026, and Ajay Puri sold 300,000 shares. This lack of executive confidence, combined with the stock trading 14% below its 52-week high, could indicate that insiders are locking in gains amid uncertainty about regulatory risks or market saturation in AI.
02
Wall Street Consensus at Your Fingertips
Access aggregated ratings from 100+ analysts, price targets, and upside potential. Know exactly where the pros stand, without the $20,000/year terminal subscription.
TSLAAnalyst Estimates
80 Total Analysts
Recent analyst revisions over the past 30 days reflect a mixed sentiment toward Tesla, with both upward and downward adjustments in price targets. Canaccord Genuity raised its target to $520, signaling increased confidence in Tesla's long-term growth potential, particularly in energy and software. In contrast, UBS cut its target to $352, reflecting concerns about near-term margin risks and pricing pressures. This divergence in revisions suggests that while some analysts are betting on Tesla's ability to scale and diversify, others remain wary of short-term execution challenges. The overall trend is neutral, with no clear consensus on the direction of the stock, but the upward revisions from top-tier firms like Canaccord may indicate a gradual shift toward a more bullish outlook as Tesla continues to innovate and expand into new markets.
Consensus Breakdown
The analyst consensus for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) reflects a cautiously optimistic outlook, with 39% of the 80 covering analysts holding a 'Buy' rating (31 out of 80), 32 analysts recommending a 'Hold,' and 17 analysts issuing a 'Sell' rating. Notably, there are no 'Strong Buy' ratings, indicating a lack of extreme bullishness despite the 14.9% consensus upside to the current price of $399.27. The distribution suggests a polarized market view, with a significant portion of analysts still skeptical about near-term execution risks or margin pressures.
Target Price Analysis
The consensus target of $458.67 implies a 14.9% upside from the current stock price, but the wide target range of $352 to $551 underscores significant uncertainty among analysts. The high end of the range, $551, represents a 38% upside, while the low end, $352, implies a 12% downside. This dispersion in price targets reflects diverging views on Tesla's ability to sustain its growth rate and manage costs in a maturing EV market.
Earnings Expectations
Looking ahead, the forward consensus estimates for 2026 and 2027 show a moderate growth trajectory. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, the consensus expects revenue of $108.6 billion and EPS of $2.18, with EBITDA of $18.1 billion. By 2027, the estimates are slightly higher, at $129.2 billion in revenue and $2.96 in EPS, with EBITDA expected to reach $21.5 billion.
03
Know If You're Overpaying
Compare P/E, EV/EBITDA, and other key ratios against the S&P 500, sector, and industry benchmarks. Understand if a stock is fairly valued in under 60 seconds.
Valuation vs. Benchmarks
P/E Ratio
EV/EBITDA
P/B Ratio
FCF Yield
04
Understand Your Downside
Financial, regulatory, and market risk scored and explained. See maximum drawdowns, volatility metrics, and credit ratings so you never get blindsided.
Drawdown from Peak
1D
-1.2%
5D
-3.8%
1M
-5.9%
3M
-12.4%
YTD
-9.0%
1Y
-18.7%
5Y
-24.3%
MAX
-49.6%
Financial Risk: Elevated Debt Load and Structural Leverage
Western Digital faces a material financial risk profile driven by its elevated leverage and capital structure. The net debt-to-EBITDA ratio of 0.62x appears modest, but the equity multiplier of 2.13x suggests aggressive use of debt to fund asset growth. The short-term debt load of $2.2B and cash reserves of $2.0B indicate a current ratio of approximately 0.43, a dangerously low level that raises liquidity concerns.
Regulatory Risk: Sector-Specific and Geopolitical Exposure
Western Digital is exposed to a complex web of regulations, including data privacy laws, antitrust scrutiny, and international trade policies. The company’s reliance on cloud storage and global operations increases its vulnerability to regulatory enforcement actions and geopolitical disruptions, particularly in Asia and Europe.
Market Risk: High Volatility and Extreme Drawdowns
Western Digital exhibits a high degree of market risk, with a beta of 1.92 and annualized volatility of 64.3%. The 49.6% maximum drawdown over the past year underscores the significant downside risk investors face, particularly in a rising interest rate environment.
Financial Risk: Elevated Debt Load and Structural Leverage
Western Digital faces a material financial risk profile driven by its elevated leverage and capital structure. The net debt-to-EBITDA ratio of 0.62x appears modest, but the equity multiplier of 2.13x suggests aggressive use of debt to fund asset growth. The short-term debt load of $2.2B and cash reserves of $2.0B indicate a current ratio of approximately 0.43, a dangerously low level that raises liquidity concerns.
Regulatory Risk: Sector-Specific and Geopolitical Exposure
Western Digital is exposed to a complex web of regulations, including data privacy laws, antitrust scrutiny, and international trade policies. The company’s reliance on cloud storage and global operations increases its vulnerability to regulatory enforcement actions and geopolitical disruptions, particularly in Asia and Europe.
Market Risk: High Volatility and Extreme Drawdowns
Western Digital exhibits a high degree of market risk, with a beta of 1.92 and annualized volatility of 64.3%. The 49.6% maximum drawdown over the past year underscores the significant downside risk investors face, particularly in a rising interest rate environment.
Financial Risk: Elevated Debt Load and Structural Leverage
Western Digital faces a material financial risk profile driven by its elevated leverage and capital structure. The net debt-to-EBITDA ratio of 0.62x appears modest, but the equity multiplier of 2.13x suggests aggressive use of debt to fund asset growth. The short-term debt load of $2.2B and cash reserves of $2.0B indicate a current ratio of approximately 0.43, a dangerously low level that raises liquidity concerns.
Regulatory Risk: Sector-Specific and Geopolitical Exposure
Western Digital is exposed to a complex web of regulations, including data privacy laws, antitrust scrutiny, and international trade policies. The company’s reliance on cloud storage and global operations increases its vulnerability to regulatory enforcement actions and geopolitical disruptions, particularly in Asia and Europe.
Market Risk: High Volatility and Extreme Drawdowns
Western Digital exhibits a high degree of market risk, with a beta of 1.92 and annualized volatility of 64.3%. The 49.6% maximum drawdown over the past year underscores the significant downside risk investors face, particularly in a rising interest rate environment.
05
Peer Comparison
See how a company stacks up against its closest competitors in seconds. Compare key metrics like valuation, profitability, margins, and returns to spot what's driving performance.
SNDKPeer Benchmarking
Top Peers Comparison
Strengths vs. Peers
- SNDK has the highest 1Y return at 1194.1%, significantly outperforming all peers including CRDO (121.3%) and others.
- SNDK's R&D as a percentage of revenue (13.6%) is higher than HPE (7.8%) and JBL (0.1%), indicating a stronger focus on innovation.
- SNDK's gross margin of 34.8% is higher than FLEX (9.1%) and JBL (8.9%), showing better pricing power than low-margin peers.
- SNDK's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.1x is among the lowest, indicating a conservative capital structure compared to FLEX (1.1x) and HPE (0.9x).
- SNDK's free cash flow yield of 1.3% is higher than the Hardware, Equipment & Parts sector average of 1.9%, suggesting better cash generation.
Areas for Improvement
- SNDK's ROE of -9.4% is the worst among peers, significantly underperforming CRDO (27.5%) and KEYS (16.8%).
- SNDK's net margin of -11.7% is the lowest in the group, far below KEYS (16.9%) and JBL (2.3%), indicating poor profitability.
- SNDK's operating margin of -7.0% is the worst, contrasting sharply with CRDO's 30.2% and KEYS' 16.0%.
- SNDK's P/E ratio of -107.9x is negative and unattractive compared to positive multiples like CRDO (57.1x) and KEYS (51.9x).
- SNDK's gross margin of 34.8% is below the Hardware, Equipment & Parts sector median of 36.9%, indicating it is underperforming industry averages.
Peer Group Identification
The selected peer group for Sandisk Corporation (SNDK) includes CRDO, FLEX, HPE, JBL, and KEYS, representing a mix of hardware and equipment firms with varying business models and market positions. While these firms operate in overlapping or adjacent sectors, none are exact analogs to SNDK in terms of product focus and revenue model.
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